jack江

Starting today, set a rule for yourself: analyze the trends of at least 5 coins every day. Not to show off, not to place trades, but simply to maintain sensitivity to the market. The market never gives advance notice; it only rewards those who watch and review the charts daily. 5 coins, no more, no less. Spend an hour or two going through the structure, checking the volume, and feeling the key levels. Over time, the signals that others can't see will gradually come into your view. The act of persistence itself is worth more than any single trade. Starting today, no exceptions. $BTC $ETH $SOL

📌 How to play the crypto market today? Two directions, one principle First, let's look at the current situation. Yesterday, both PPI and CPI fell below expectations, triggering a "leveraged liquidation" in the crypto market—$2.4 billion worth of positions were forcibly liquidated, with longs accounting for $1.5 billion. BTC dropped to a low of 79,200 and has now barely bounced back to around 80,500, fluctuating in that range. The market hasn't collapsed, but its vitality has definitely been hurt. To sum up the current situation in one sentence: macro pressure, weak technicals, and the regulatory window will determine the short-term direction. 🎯 Key price levels today ——————$BTC On the upside, $82,000 is a dense liquidation zone for shorts; on the downside, $79,500–80,000 is the "survival line" for leveraged longs—there are large positions buried on both sides. Once either side is broken, it will likely trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, directly igniting the next wave of movement. ——————$ETH For ETH, support is seen at 2,255 (50-day moving average), and resistance at 2,377 is the short liquidation trigger point. The core risk zones at the contract level are now very clear: whoever breaks through the dense liquidation zone first will dominate the upcoming direction. ⚔️ Operation strategy reference First, abandon heavy bets on direction. The 80,000–82,000 range has continuously suppressed three lower highs for longs; buying momentum is steadily weakening. Opening any heavy one-sided position here is like flipping a coin. Second, adopt a small position, fast-frequency range trading strategy. Near 79,500, try small long positions with stop loss below 78,800; when price rebounds above 81,500, try small short positions with stop loss above 82,500. Each position should be half of a normal size, aiming only to profit from intra-range volatility, avoiding overcommitment. For altcoins, after the liquidation shock, defensive strength has diverged: SOL is more sensitive to risk, while BNB and DOGE show stronger resilience. Prioritize altcoin contracts that stabilize first after this round of declines, avoid high-beta assets like SOL that just crashed from highs, and keep overall altcoin exposure within 20%, strictly enforcing trading discipline. 🔥 Tonight's biggest variable—the CLARITY Act The U.S. Senate Banking Committee will review and vote on amendments to the CLARITY Act at 10:30 AM ET (10:30 PM Beijing time). If passed, this will mark a historic breakthrough for compliant pathways of crypto assets in the U.S., significantly boosting medium- to long-term market confidence. However, Democratic senators including Elizabeth Warren have introduced over 100 amendments at the last minute, with DeFi provisions and stablecoin yields remaining contentious points. Before major news breaks, avoid heavy positions. To conclude in one sentence—don't bet on direction today; trade small positions at the range edges with high sells and low buys. Wait for a clear directional breakout before following the trend; this is much safer than trying to predict it. #CLARITY法案：309页草案公布

📅 Morning news highlights for May 14, watch your positions, brothers 1. 🔥 Headline: CLARITY Act gains key Republican support, likely to pass vote tonight Senator John Kennedy confirmed he will support the CLARITY Act in today's Senate Banking Committee vote. The Republican Party as a whole supports this crypto market structure bill, and regardless of how Democrats vote, the bill is expected to advance smoothly. This statement resolves the only critical vote issue that previously hindered the bill's progress in the Senate. Committee Chairman Tim Scott released the latest 309-page text on Tuesday, which is a compromise reached after multiple rounds of negotiations around stablecoin yield provisions. If the committee votes to pass it, the bill is expected to be sent to the full Senate for a vote before the Memorial Day recess. Meanwhile, over 100 amendments were submitted by the Wednesday deadline, with proposals pushed by Catherine Cortez Masto, Elizabeth Warren, and others criticized by the DeFi Education Fund as "anti-DeFi". Polymarket prices the probability of the bill passing in 2026 at 73%. 2. 📊 Market: BTC falls below $80,000, briefly dips under $79,200 Bitcoin broke below the $80,000 psychological level, currently around $79,570, down 1.51% from the previous day. It briefly touched a low of $79,200, officially losing the $80,000 support level that bulls had held for weeks. ETH is at $2,256, down 1.26%. XRP fell 1.59%, BNB rose 1.18% against the trend, SOL plunged 4.19%. Bitcoin's market dominance slightly decreased by 0.06 percentage points to 60.15%, while Ethereum's dominance rose to 10.27%. Key price levels for major coins: · ETH: Support at 2,255 (50-day moving average), key resistance at 2,465; a breakout could push it toward $3,050 · SOL: Pressured at $98 resistance, key support at $89 (20-day moving average); breaking $98 could target $106–117 range · HYPERLIQUID: Fell below the $40.55 moving average; if it breaks below $38.7, it may test $34.45 · ZEC: Rebounded from $560 support but with weak momentum; losing $560 could lead to $481 · BNB: Testing key resistance at $687; holding above could challenge the $730 all-time high 3. 💥 Liquidations: $2.4 billion leveraged positions wiped out In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached $2.4 billion, with long positions liquidated at $1.5 billion, accounting for 62.5% of the total. Over 124,000 traders were forcibly liquidated, with the largest single liquidation on Binance's ETH/USDT pair valued at about $11.75 million. By coin, Bitcoin liquidations totaled $1.094 billion, Ethereum $955 million. Essentially, this event was a clearing of excessive long bets triggered by macro data. Derivatives market total volume rose 2.98% against the trend to $818.3 billion, indicating re-entry after liquidations continues. Stablecoin trading volume increased to $93.17 billion, up 7.18%, with funds focusing on defensive allocations. 4. 📉 Macro: PPI surprises spark inflation fears US April PPI data was the main trigger for the market plunge. April headline PPI rose 1.4% month-over-month, far exceeding the expected 0.5%; year-over-year it jumped to 6.0%, the highest in three and a half years. Core PPI rose 1.0% month-over-month, indicating broad inflation spread. Gasoline prices surged 15.6%, driven mainly by Middle East geopolitical tensions. Market focus has shifted from "when will rates be cut" to "will rates be raised again," with traders starting to price in hikes before year-end; the probability of a December hike rose from under 22% to over 30%. The Senate has approved Kevin Warsh, known for his pro-crypto stance, to succeed as Fed Chair. 5. 🏦 Institutions: Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs see $364 million net outflow in one day On May 12, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $233 million, Ethereum spot ETFs a net outflow of $131 million. Fidelity's FBTC outflow was $86.13 million, BlackRock's IBIT outflow $32.95 million, BlackRock's ETHA outflow $102 million. However, XRP ETFs had a net inflow of $5.31 million, and SOL ETFs continued a seven-day streak of net inflows, with $19.07 million inflow on the day, indicating institutional funds are rotating into altcoins. Charles Schwab began offering direct Bitcoin and Ethereum trading services to US retail clients, broadening spot access channels. JPMorgan launched its second tokenized currency fund on Ethereum. Crypto investment products have seen six consecutive weeks of net inflows, with $858 million net inflow last week; short Bitcoin products recorded the largest single-week outflow this year at $144 million. 📌 Key focus today · (Biggest variable today) At 10:30 AM ET (10:30 PM Beijing time), the Senate Banking Committee will review and vote on the CLARITY Act; if passed, it will trigger full Senate consideration · BTC key support at 78,000–79,200; breaking below may seek liquidity toward 75,000 · The Beijing summit between Xi and Trump enters its second day; outcomes will impact global risk asset pricing #CLARITY法案：309页草案公布 #ETH网络升级倒计时 #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期

BTC fell below 79,000, I closed my short position, here’s why First, let’s talk about the market. BTC hit a low near 79,200 last night, bounced back to 81,000 this morning, but it felt weak, now it’s hovering around 80,000. In the past 24 hours, $320 million was liquidated, 107,000 people were forcibly closed out, most of them longs. ——————$BTC Why did I close? Three reasons. First, the key support hasn’t broken. When I opened the short, I was betting it would break 78,000 and start a second wave down. But it stopped at 79,200, the 78,000 line is still holding. There’s a rule in trading: if the reason you opened the trade is gone, you should exit, not wait to lose everything and then cry. Second, the market signals are too messy. Bitcoin open interest has been dropping, it feels like no one dares to play anymore. Although shorts on the contract side still lean bullish, last week there was a big wave of short liquidations — even the shorts are retreating, so I’m uneasy holding on. Third, there’s a big event tomorrow. The CLARITY Act vote is tomorrow (May 14). If it passes, market sentiment could rebound instantly. I’ve lost betting on direction ahead of news like this before, so I’m not risking it now. How do I see the bulls and bears now? Bearish reasons: CPI is too high, no hope for rate cuts; the Iran-Israel situation could explode anytime; BTC can’t hold above 83,200. But bullish signals are also emerging: whales have been accumulating between 79,000-81,000, ETFs have had six consecutive weeks of net inflows, someone is really buying. As long as 78,000 holds, bears won’t dare to smash it hard. One main reason: the @BTC 星辰 whales have also closed part of their positions! Hahaha ——————@BTC 星辰 Currently, the overall range is oscillating between 78,000 and 84,000. Summary I exited this trade early. Not because I’m bullish, but because the conditions for the short weren’t met, plus the signals are messy and the news is big, I don’t want to gamble. I’m pocketing the profits I made. If anyone asks why I’d rather take less profit and run — the market never lacks opportunities, but your own capital is limited. As long as the principal is intact, there’s always a next trade. ---

$HYPE Where is HYPE headed next? Bullish: ETF and Whale Consensus 21Shares HYPE Spot ETF debuted on Nasdaq with $1.8 million in trading volume (net inflow about $1.2 million). Bitwise and Grayscale are actively following suit. Ondo has introduced its tokenized US stocks into HyperEVM as perpetual contract collateral. On the whale front, address 0x4E53 has accumulated and staked over 500,000 HYPE (worth over $20 million) in a week, continuing to add positions during the week. Another whale bought 71,000 tokens near $42 (about $3.02 million). If key support holds, the target is to replay the previous offensive momentum above $45. Bearish: Data has already triggered alarms HYPE is currently trading in the $40.2–$40.8 range, down about 2.4% in the past 24 hours. Technically, it has broken below the ascending trendline since late January (around $42.17), with multiple failed rebounds and damaged strong structure. Momentum indicators have weakened across the board—daily RSI dropped to 48, MACD formed a death cross, ADX is only 15.26, indicating a weak but downward-biased trend. On derivatives, the funding rate is negative at -0.0065%, long-short ratio is only 0.81 (lowest in a month); the top 100 addresses reduced holdings by 17.57% in the past 24 hours, showing overall withdrawal by large holders. ⚔️ Key Battle Lines · Above: Strong resistance zone at $41.2–$42.1. There is a $7.68 million short leveraged position around $42, which could trigger a short squeeze if broken. · Below: $39.4 is the daily long-short dividing line since April 10, never breached. If broken with volume, the technical structure is completely destroyed, with a downside target near $36. Bulls and bears are fighting the final battle near the $39.4 defense line. I lean towards watching more and acting less, waiting for clarity at $39.4 or $42 before making moves, which is safer. #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #CLARITY法案：309页草案公布 #ETH网络升级倒计时

Evening Review: BTC breaks 80,000, long positions got wiped out again Didn't watch the market much during the day, but when I checked back in the evening, I was stunned. BTC hit a low of 79,779 today, breaking below 80,000. Now it's barely hovering around 80,500. Across the network, liquidations totaled $277 million, with 96,000 people liquidated. Long position liquidations accounted for 68%. ———————$BTC The largest single liquidation was an ETH contract on Binance, $2.71 million wiped out in one go. Watching these numbers gave me chills. Not because I got liquidated—I didn’t open any positions during the day. But because I almost chased longs this afternoon. At that time, seeing BTC bounce from 79,800 back to 80,200, I thought “this is the bottom” and wanted to jump in. Later got busy with work and didn’t place the order in time. Looking back now, glad I didn’t. ———————$ETH Why did it drop so hard today? I looked into it, and three things collided: 1. CPI data exploded. April YoY at 3.8%, no chance of rate cuts, and some even speculate rate hikes by year-end. Once rate hike expectations rise, crypto is the first to get hit. 2. Iran and Israel tensions remain unsettled. Ceasefire is basically ineffective, oil prices won’t drop, who dares to buy risky assets? 3. Trump’s summit yielded no substantial progress. The market can’t find a reason to go long. Three heavy blows, BTC just collapsed. Key levels I noted tonight: · Support below at 79,200–79,800. If broken, next support at 78,000. · Resistance above at 81,600–82,100. Probably out of reach for now. · If BTC falls below 76,672, $1.2 billion in long positions will be liquidated; if it can surge above 84,492, shorts will face a $1.6 billion squeeze—but that seems far off now. ETH is similar, support at 2,255, resistance at 2,350–2,400. Biggest variable tomorrow: Senate vote on the CLARITY Act. If it passes, sentiment might recover a bit; if not, prices may fall further. My plan for tonight: · Play it safe: do nothing. First see if the 80,000 level can hold. If confirmed, consider a small long position tomorrow with a stop loss at 79,500. · If feeling itchy: at most place a very small long near 79,200, with a tight stop loss and leverage no more than 5x—but I probably won’t. No rush to bottom-fish tonight. Survival first, wait for clearer direction. One last note: this is just my personal review, not a signal to copy. If contracts liquidate, no one will compensate you. Brothers, are you still watching tonight? I’m about to make some instant noodles and watch the market, but I don’t plan to open any positions. #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #CLARITY法案：309页草案公布 #ETH网络升级倒计时

$ZEC ZEC's position is really uncertain right now, anyone want to keep an eye on it together? Let me start with myself. I missed the 50% surge in ZEC last month because I got scared after being burned by $LAB before, so when I saw it rising, my reflex was to short. Now ZEC is hovering around 553, neither up nor down. I've been watching for two days, but neither bulls nor bears dare to make a move. Here's what I see. The bulls do have some points. Grayscale has applied for a ZEC ETF, which would be the first privacy coin ETF. If approved, it would be big news. The institutions at Multicoin are also buying; their boss said ZEC is like "private gold." Also, Paradigm and a16z invested $25 million in Zcash development. The most concrete thing is: currently, 30% of ZEC is sent to privacy addresses, not just short-term speculation, but real usage. Also, the SEC previously investigated the Zcash Foundation and ended with "no issues, no penalties," effectively giving it a compliant status. Plus, next month a quantum-resistant wallet will launch, making ZEC the first privacy coin resistant to quantum computers. Sounds impressive, but I don't dare to jump in just on stories. The bears have their reasons too. In the past two days, exchanges have seen a net outflow of $48 million worth of ZEC, mostly profit-taking. The daily RSI dropped from a high to 71, and MACD is converging, showing signs of stalling. There's also a superstition: every time ZEC has a violent pump, BTC is almost at its peak. As someone trading altcoin contracts, this worries me because when BTC falls, altcoins crash too. Here's how I see the key levels now. Below 538-545 is the last defense line; if it breaks, I will definitely exit. Above 620-629 is a heavy resistance zone; several times before, attempts to break there were smashed down. There's a big event tomorrow. The CLARITY Act vote is on Thursday. If it passes, the regulatory framework for digital assets will be set, which is very positive for privacy coins like ZEC. If it fails, the positive sentiment might reverse and cause a dump. Also, ZEC futures open interest dropped 17% in 24 hours, indicating everyone is actively reducing leverage, fearing volatility around the vote. What am I thinking? I have two plans and haven't decided yet: 1. Wait for a pullback near 545, open a small long position with a stop loss below 520. First target 570-580, lock in half profits there, then watch 620. If it holds above 570, it might reach 650+. 2. Do nothing and wait for the vote result. Charging in without direction is just throwing money away. Whatever I choose, I set strict rules for myself: Altcoin contract positions no more than 20% of total funds, leverage max 3-5x. ZEC is too volatile, with frequent 20% pullbacks; high leverage will just get wiped out. Some say ZEC is like SOL back in the day; everyone thought privacy coins would be banned, but institutions rushed in. I also think 620 isn't the top, but the premise is to survive until then. Brothers, what do you think? Will it pump before the vote tomorrow? Or keep waiting? I'm watching the 538-545 range now; if it breaks, I'll exit; if not, I'll try a small position. Gambling is gambling, just don't bet your life on it. #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #CLARITY法案：309页草案公布 #OKXPizzaDay

SAHARA$SAHARA Current Status · The trend is no longer sideways, but this position is no longer a comfortable entry point. · Price deviates from the key level by 6.1%. · Structure rating: 7/10. Technical Indicators · Market: Sideways (originally marked as sideways) · RSI: 60.11 (still in the strong zone) · MACD: Golden cross · Bollinger Bands: Price is moving within the range Capital Dynamics · Main funds have started to show participation. Core Issues (current direct risk-reward for participation) · Stop loss: 0.03962 · Risk: about 7.3% · Target space: about 12.7% · Risk-reward ratio: 1 : 0.87 Key Level · 0.04030 — Holding here is necessary for the trend to have the possibility to accelerate further. Suggestion The most important thing now is not to chase, but to wait. Those who truly make money are often very patient. ========================= Over-reliance on technical indicators while ignoring price action itself. Frequent switching of timeframes causes directional confusion. Failure to reduce positions before major data releases, resulting in stop loss being hit by sudden volatility. No review after market close, repeatedly making the same mistakes. Weak emotional recovery ability, rushing to recover losses after a single loss, disrupting the rhythm. Trading is not about who predicts more accurately, but who makes fewer mistakes and corrects them faster. #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #在OKX交易美股：从英伟达到SpaceX #ETH网络升级倒计时

May altcoin rotation accelerates — funds are flowing from Bitcoin to these 4 sectors Family~~ BTC dropped below 80,000 then bounced back to 81,000 But the altcoin season index is only 35 (75 to confirm) BTC dominance remains above 60% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━$BTC Historical patterns tell us: After BTC dominance peaks, funds start rotating into altcoins within 1-2 quarters This current window is worth watching closely 👀 Four sectors have already shown clear capital signals: 1. AI + Infrastructure: Toncoin, Zcash, Venice Token break resistance with high volume 2. Solana ecosystem: Spot ETF launched + Western Union and JPMorgan choose SOL as stablecoin settlement layer + Pumpfun monthly fees hit $70 million + TPS back above 3000 3. Sui ecosystem: DeepBook launches Predict, related token DEEP daily volume surges 976% + 21Shares spot SUI ETF listed on Nasdaq 4. DeFi lending track: AAVE V4 launched, RWA lending platform Horizon net deposits near $550 million, value capture logic explodes ━━━━━━━━━━━━━$ETH Retail participation in altcoin rotation [Four-step practical method]: Step 1: Choose projects with real revenue and institutional cooperation Prioritize SOL, AAVE with ETF access or stable returns, avoid pure speculation Step 2: Start testing positions when BTC dominance falls from 60% to below 58% Altcoin total allocation should not exceed 40% of total crypto assets, keep BTC base position for hedging Step 3: Set phased take-profit for each coin, sell half after 30% gain, and clearly define stop-loss levels Step 4: Never chase highs, patiently wait for capital rotation to return If rotation comes and you’re not in, then you rush in after it’s gone — that’s truly painful 🍺 #在OKX交易美股：从英伟达到SpaceX #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #ETH网络升级倒计时

$278 million evaporated overnight! Who's getting cut in the long-short battle? Damn~~ so~ so~ ruthless 😱 In the past 24 hours, $278 million in market-making liquidations across the network Long positions liquidated $231 million, short positions only $47.36 million Nearly 100,000 people forcibly liquidated, largest single order: Binance ETH 2.714 million Bitcoin long liquidations $57.18 million, Ethereum long liquidations $65.05 million ━━━━━━━━━━━━$BTC Why did the long squeeze happen? Three bombs exploded simultaneously 💣 · US-Iran tensions escalate, Trump rejects peace proposal, panic spreads · US April CPI up 3.8% YoY, exceeding expectations, fears of rate hikes double · Bitcoin briefly fell below 80,000, triggering high-leverage contract stop-loss orders In an avalanche, no snowflake is innocent ❄️ ━━━━━━━━━━━━$ETH Before opening contracts, check this set of hidden bomb data 💣 If BTC breaks above 84,492 — short position liquidation intensity $1.884 billion If BTC falls below 76,672 — long position liquidation intensity $1.198 billion Ethereum: break above 2390 short position risk $1.423 billion Fall below 2167 long position risk $741 million Poor risk control means even big profits are just paper wealth Control leverage, set strong liquidation lines — don’t bet the market will never crash --- #美国4月CPI录得3.8%，超出预期 #ETH网络升级倒计时

Top 5 Hot Altcoin Picks for May! Can You Still Get In on These Coins Now? Brothers~~ The May market is running faster than a dog 🐕‍🦺 Which altcoins can still surge? Institutional holdings + fundamentals, four major sectors lined up 👇 ━━━━━━━━━━$SOL 1. Solana (SOL)~~ Around $95, down 1.3% in 24 hours Ethereum’s strongest substitute~~ Abu Dhabi’s $1.65 billion ecosystem fund injection + ETF expectations Short-term target $150, mid-to-long term $200-$500 🚀 ━━━━━━━━━━$XRP 1. XRP~~ $1.415, leading compliant cross-border payment After winning the lawsuit, institutions are going crazy over it, target $2 ━━━━━━━━━━$ZEC 1. Zcash (ZEC)~~ Privacy coin dark horse Arthur Hayes says: ZEC price will reach 10% of BTC! Institutional capital has quietly flowed in 1. Sui (SUI)~~ New public chain with Move language a16z and Sequoia Capital backing, broke through $1.26 yesterday, surged over 16% in one day Ecosystem just starting, huge potential 1. Chainlink (LINK)~~ Oracle leader Connecting on-chain and off-chain, essential for RWA and DeFi Staking yields boost deflation expectations, short-term $20, mid-to-long term $50 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Positioning advice: Core positions (ETH/SOL/AAVE) 60-70% Satellite positions (SUI/PENDLE/HYPE) 30-40% Overall altcoins should not exceed 40% of total crypto assets~~ keep BTC as the base to survive ⚠️ High-level reduction warning: BTC dominance falling from 58% signals altcoin capital rotation Only below 50% is the real altcoin party season Don’t chase highs~~ control your hands 🙏